Published: 19/01/2026 By ECAP
AT A GLANCE
The British Pound starts the week slightly firmer against the Dollar as US holiday thinned trading and tariff threats weigh on the greenback, though UK data later this week will be key.
The Euro comes under pressure as rising transatlantic tensions and tariff risks cloud the outlook, despite otherwise steady fundamentals.
The U.S. Dollar is weaker amid political uncertainty, trade concerns and closed US markets, with focus shifting to how policy and leadership developments unfold.
TRADE TENSIONS RETURN
The British Pound is supported at the start of the week as the Dollar softens following renewed US tariff threats linked to Greenland. However, the Pound’s outlook later this week will hinge on UK employment and inflation data, which will shape expectations around Bank of England policy. Any signs of labour market cooling or easing price pressures could quickly cap gains and reintroduce downside risks.
The Euro is in focus at the start of the week as trade tensions with the US return to the forefront of the market's attention. Fresh tariff threats and uncertainty ahead of political meetings in Davos have weighed on sentiment. With little Eurozone data due today, the single currency is likely to remain sensitive to headlines rather than economic releases in the near term.
The Dollar is on the back foot as markets react to renewed tariff threats against European allies and concerns over broader US trade policy. With US markets closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, liquidity is thin, exaggerating moves. Attention this week will turn to political developments, upcoming US data and longer term questions around leadership and policy direction.
Data supplied by GC Partners